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WEEKLY MACRO & CRYPTO DIGEST: AUGUST 31 โ€“ SEPTEMBER 4

 WEEKLY MACRO & CRYPTO DIGEST: AUGUST 31 โ€“ SEPTEMBER 4

Greetings, traders! ๐Ÿ‘‹

September kicks off with a packed calendar: Jobs Week, $27M+ in token unlocks, and the Beige Book. After Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech pushed September rate-hike odds to ~60%, markets are on edge.

All times are in UTC for our global community.

๐Ÿ“… MONDAY, August 31

Revolut delists USDT; HyENA and Printr cease operations.

๐Ÿ“… TUESDAY, September 1

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ 08:00 UTC โ€” EU Manufacturing PMI (Aug Final)

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ 09:00 UTC โ€” EU CPI (Aug Prelim) โ€” Expected: 3.3% annual, up from 2.9%

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 13:45 UTC โ€” S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Aug Final)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 14:00 UTC โ€” ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug) โ€” Expected: 55.1

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 14:00 UTC โ€” JOLTS Job Openings (July) โ€” Expected: 7.38M

๐Ÿ”“ Token Unlocks:

Sui โ€” ~13.53M tokens (~$10M), 0.33% of circulating supply

EigenLayer โ€” ~36.92M tokens (~$6.8M), 5.48% of supply

๐Ÿ“Œ Also today: Russia's comprehensive crypto regulation law takes effect; Franklin Templeton launches two Bitcoin dividend reinvestment ETFs.

๐Ÿ“… WEDNESDAY, September 2 โ€” BoC + Beige Book

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 12:00 UTC โ€” Bank of Canada Rate Decision โ€” Expected: hold at 2.25% for the 7th consecutive meeting

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 12:15 UTC โ€” ADP Employment Change (Aug) โ€” Expected: +47K (prior: +44K)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 14:00 UTC โ€” Factory Orders (July)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 14:30 UTC โ€” US Crude Oil Inventories

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 19:00 UTC โ€” Beige Book โ€” Anecdotal economic summary from all 12 Fed districts, released ahead of the September FOMC meeting

๐Ÿ”“ Ethena unlock โ€” ~40.63M tokens (~$6M), 0.46% of circulating supply

๐Ÿ“… THURSDAY, September 3

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ 08:00 UTC โ€” EU Services & Composite PMI (Aug Final)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 12:30 UTC โ€” Initial Jobless Claims โ€” Expected: ~205K

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 12:30 UTC โ€” US Trade Balance (July)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 13:45 UTC โ€” S&P Global US Services & Composite PMI (Aug Final)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 14:00 UTC โ€” ISM Services PMI (Aug) โ€” Expected: 54.1

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 20:30 UTC โ€” Fed Balance Sheet

๐Ÿ”“ Token Unlock:

Sui โ€” Additional ~10.61M tokens

๐Ÿ“… FRIDAY, September 4 โ€” NFP DAY ๐Ÿ“Š

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 12:30 UTC โ€” Nonfarm Payrolls (Aug) โ€” Expected: +58K jobs (prior: -23K)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 12:30 UTC โ€” Unemployment Rate (Aug) โ€” Expected: 4.1%

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 12:30 UTC โ€” Average Hourly Earnings โ€” Expected: +0.1% MoM

โšก๏ธ What XBTS DEX Is Watching This Week

1๏ธโƒฃ Jobs Data (Fri) โ€” The most important report of the week. July payrolls unexpectedly fell by 23,000, and a strong August print could cement September rate-hike odds (~60%). A miss could trigger relief across risk assets.

2๏ธโƒฃ ADP (Wed) โ€” A preview of Friday's NFP. Expected +47K.

3๏ธโƒฃ Beige Book (Wed) โ€” Fed's district-by-district view of economic conditions ahead of the Sept FOMC meeting.

4๏ธโƒฃ Token Unlocks โ€” Over $27M in new supply this week. SUI (~$10M), EIGEN (~$6.8M), and ENA (~$6M) are the largest.

5๏ธโƒฃ Bank of Canada (Wed) โ€” Expected to hold at 2.25%, but the strong 3.3% Q2 GDP print gives them room to stay.

Stay sharp. Jobs Week is here.

Trade freely. Trade decentralized.