Greetings, traders! ๐
China GDP kicks off the week, followed by UK CPI, Flash PMIs, and the Plan โฟ Forum in Lugano. Add $100M+ in token unlocks and continued ETF outflows.
All times in UTC for our global community.
๐ MONDAY, OCTOBER 19
๐จ๐ณ 02:00 UTC = China GDP (Q3) = Consensus: 4.4% YoY (prior: 4.3%)
๐จ๐ณ 02:00 UTC = China Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Fixed Asset Investment (Sept)
๐ MARA moved 1,000 BTC to Binance and Gate = analysts flag potential miner selling pressure
๐ TUESDAY, OCTOBER 20
๐จ๐ณ 01:15 UTC - China PBoC Loan Prime Rate. Expected: hold at 3.00% (1Y) and 3.50% (5Y)
๐ฉ๐ช 06:00 UTC - Germany PPI (Sept)
๐ช๐บ 09:05 UTC - Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct)
๐บ๐ธ 12:30 UTC - US Housing Starts (Sept)
๐ LayerZero unlock- ~23.28M tokens (~$43.3M), 3.83% of supply, at 03:00 UTC
Kaito - ~$5M
๐ WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 21
๐ฌ๐ง 06:00 UTC - UK CPI (Sept)
๐ฌ๐ง 15:00 UTC - BoE Governor Bailey speech
๐บ๐ธ 14:30 UTC - US Crude Oil Inventories
๐ Akedo unlock - ~$63.4M, 9.25% of market cap
๐ THURSDAY, OCTOBER 22
๐บ๐ธ 12:30 UTC - Initial Jobless Claims (Weekly)
๐บ๐ธ 20:30 UTC - Fed Balance Sheet
๐ FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23
๐ Plan โฟ Forum - Lugano, Switzerland (Oct 23-24)
๐ช๐บ 08:00 UTC - EU Flash PMIs (Oct Prelim)
๐บ๐ธ 13:45 UTC - US Flash PMIs (Oct Prelim)
๐บ๐ธ 14:00 UTC - Michigan Inflation Expectations (Oct Prelim)
๐ SATURDAY, OCTOBER 25
๐ Plasma unlock - ~$18M, 12.66% of market cap
๐ POLYMARKET BTC PRICE OUTLOOK
Real money on Polymarket prices BTC hitting these levels by year-end:
๐น $85,000 - 80% chance
๐น $90,000 - 59% chance
๐น $95,000 - 39% chance
๐น $100,000 - 25% chance
โก๏ธ What XBTS DEX Is Watching This Week
1๏ธโฃ China GDP (Mon) - Q3 growth expected at 4.4% YoY. A miss could reignite global growth concerns and pressure risk assets.
2๏ธโฃ UK CPI + Bailey (Wed) - UK inflation data followed by the BoE Governor's speech. Any hawkish signal could ripple across global bond markets.
3๏ธโฃ ETF Outflows Continue - Second straight week of outflows (~$228M for Oct 12โ16). Institutional demand remains muted - a key backdrop for price.
4๏ธโฃ MARA's 1,000 BTC Move (Mon) - Miner transfers to exchanges are closely watched as potential selling signals.
5๏ธโฃ Token Unlocks - Over $140M this week. AKE (~$63.4M) Wednesday, ZRO (~$43.3M) Tuesday, XPL (~$18M) Saturday.
6๏ธโฃ Plan โฟ Forum (Fri-Sat) - Lugano's Bitcoin conference. Potential announcements and sentiment catalyst.
Stay sharp. China GDP and UK CPI set the tone.
