Greetings, traders! ๐
Midterm elections, Jobs Week, a massive BTW unlock, and Binance's post-hack recovery define this week. Here's what's on the radar.
All times in UTC for our global community.
๐ MONDAY, NOVEMBER 2
๐จ๐ณ 01:45 UTC - China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Oct)
๐ช๐บ 09:00 UTC - EU Manufacturing PMI (Oct Final)
๐บ๐ธ 14:45 UTC - US Manufacturing PMI (Oct Final)
๐ Bitway unlock - ~101.63M tokens (~$109.66M), 3.37% of released supply - the largest one-time unlock this week
๐ TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 3 - MIDTERM ELECTIONS ๐
๐ณ US Midterm Elections - Polls close starting at 23:00 UTC. Results may take days or weeks for close races.
๐บ๐ธ 15:00 UTC - JOLTS Job Openings (Sept)
๐ WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 4 - ADP + ISM SERVICES
๐ช๐บ 09:00 UTC - EU Services & Composite PMI (Oct Final)
๐ช๐บ 10:00 UTC - EU CPI (Oct Prelim)
๐บ๐ธ 13:15 UTC - ADP Employment Change (Oct)
๐บ๐ธ 13:30 UTC - US Trade Balance (Sept)
๐บ๐ธ 14:45 UTC - US Services & Composite PMI (Oct Final)
๐บ๐ธ 15:00 UTC - ISM Services PMI (Oct)
๐บ๐ธ 15:30 UTC - US Crude Oil Inventories
๐ Momentum unlock - ~252M tokens (~$32.3M), 294.38% of circulating supply - the largest relative unlock this week
๐ THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 5
๐บ๐ธ 13:30 UTC - Initial Jobless Claims (Weekly)
๐ช๐บ 18:00 UTC - ECB President Lagarde speech
๐ Ethena unlock - ~93.75M tokens (~$18.4M), at Nov 4, 16:00 UTC (00:00 Beijing, Nov 5)
๐ FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 6 โ NFP DAY ๐
๐บ๐ธ 00:30 UTC - Fed Balance Sheet
๐บ๐ธ 13:30 UTC - Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct) - Consensus: +50K. Unemployment expected at 4.2%
๐บ๐ธ 13:30 UTC - Unemployment Rate (Oct)
๐บ๐ธ 15:00 UTC - Michigan Inflation Expectations (Nov Prelim)
๐ SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 8
๐ Avalanche unlock - ~1.67M tokens (~$14.7M), 0.30% of circulating supply
๐จ BINANCE POST-HACK RECOVERY - INCOMPLETE
Binance resumed withdrawals on Nov 1 after the $6.3B exploit, but the reopening is phased and incomplete:
โ Still suspended: 531 of 552 listed coins remain fully or partially suspended.
Net outflow: $3.64B in the first 9.5 hours (2.1% of AUM).
FBI attribution: North Korea's TraderTraitor group responsible. Hackers are converting stolen assets to ETH for laundering
๐ POLYMARKET BTC PRICE OUTLOOK
Real money on Polymarket prices BTC hitting these levels by year-end:
๐น $85,000 โ 80% chance
๐น $90,000 โ 59% chance
๐น $95,000 โ 39% chance
๐น $100,000 โ 25% chance
Smart money signal: Trader 58bro.eth (90% win rate, $33.7M profit) is betting BTC stays between $70K and $95K this month.
โก๏ธ What XBTS DEX Is Watching This Week
1๏ธโฃ NFP Report (Fri) โ Consensus +50K. After September's weak 29K print, a soft number could reinforce slowdown fears.
2๏ธโฃ BTW Unlock (Mon) - ~$110M in new supply hits today. One of the largest one-time unlocks this week .
3๏ธโฃ MMT Unlock (Wed) - 294% of circulating supply unlocks. Extreme dilution event - expect severe volatility on MMT.
4๏ธโฃ Binance Recovery - Withdrawals are only partially restored.
Stay sharp. Elections, Jobs Week, and Binance's recovery set the tone.
๐ XBTS Dex & DeFi
Dex NEW https://trade.xbts.io
Dex Classic https://ex.xbts.io
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