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WEEKLY MACRO & CRYPTO DIGEST: SEPTEMBER 7โ€“13

WEEKLY MACRO & CRYPTO DIGEST: SEPTEMBER 7โ€“13

Greetings, traders! ๐Ÿ‘‹

A packed week ahead: ECB rate decision, US inflation data (final before the September FOMC), and over $10M in token unlocks. All eyes on Thursday and Friday.

All times in UTC for our global community.

๐Ÿ“… MONDAY, September 7

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ 09:00 UTC โ€” EU GDP (Q2 Final)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Markets Closed โ€” Labor Day holiday

๐Ÿ”“ STABLE unlock โ€” ~$26.0M

๐Ÿ“… TUESDAY, September 8

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต 23:50 UTC (Sep 7) โ€” Japan GDP (Q2 Final)

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ 02:00 UTC โ€” China Trade Balance (Aug)

๐Ÿ“Š Canaan & GameStop earnings โ€” pre-market and after close

๐Ÿ“… WEDNESDAY, September 9 โ€” EVENT DAY ๐Ÿ”ฅ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ 01:30 UTC โ€” China CPI (Aug)

๐Ÿ Apple "Surprise and Shine" Event โ€” New CEO John Ternus's first keynote. Expected: iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone (97% Polymarket odds) . Standard iPhone 18 delayed to 2027 due to memory chip costs . Could impact tech/risk sentiment.

๐Ÿ”ต Fractal Bitcoin First Halving โ€” Base block reward drops from 25 FB to 12.5 FB at block 2,100,000 . First halving for this Bitcoin scaling solution. Could attract attention to the L2 sector.

๐Ÿ—“ Crypto Expo Dubai 2026 opens โ€” Institutional focus, potential sentiment catalyst.

๐Ÿ—“ Coinbase perpetual transition โ€” Moving from International Exchange to Deribit.

๐Ÿ“… THURSDAY, September 10 โ€” ECB DAY ๐Ÿ›

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช 06:00 UTC โ€” Germany CPI (Aug Final)

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ 12:15 UTC โ€” ECB Interest Rate Decision โ€” Expected: 2.50% (prev: 2.25%), second consecutive hike

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ 12:45 UTC โ€” ECB Press Conference with Christine Lagarde

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 12:30 UTC โ€” US PPI (Aug) โ€” Headline expected +0.3% MoM (prev: 0.0%), Core +0.2% MoM

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 12:30 UTC โ€” Initial Jobless Claims โ€” Expected: 209K

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 14:00 UTC โ€” US Existing Home Sales (Aug)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 16:00 UTC โ€” US Crude Oil Inventories (delayed due to holiday)

๐Ÿ› Coinbase CFO Alesia Haas at Citi Conference โ€” 17:15 UTC (1:15 PM ET). Watch for comments on regulation, ETFs, or strategy .

๐Ÿ“… FRIDAY, September 11 โ€” US CPI DAY ๐Ÿ“Š

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง 06:00 UTC โ€” UK GDP (July)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 12:30 UTC โ€” US CPI (Aug) โ€” Headline expected +3.4% YoY (unchanged from July), Core +2.4% YoY (down from 2.5%)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 12:30 UTC โ€” US Core CPI (Aug) โ€” Expected +0.2% MoM

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 15:00 UTC โ€” Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Sept Prelim) โ€” Expected: 51.5

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 18:00 UTC โ€” US Federal Budget Report (Aug)

๐Ÿ“Š 08:00 UTC โ€” Weekly BTC & ETH Options Expiry โ€” BTC notional ~$1.81B

๐Ÿ”“ Aptos unlock โ€” ~11.31M tokens (~$7.09M), 0.65% of circulating supply

๐Ÿ“… SATURDAY, September 12

๐Ÿ”“ Peaq unlock โ€” ~84.84M tokens (~$2.2M), 3.41% of circulating supply

๐Ÿ“… SUNDAY, September 13

๐Ÿ”“ Cheelee unlock โ€” ~6.42M tokens (~$2.24M), 0.79% of circulating supply

โšก๏ธ What XBTS DEX Is Watching This Week

1๏ธโƒฃ US CPI (Fri) โ€” The final inflation data before the September 16 FOMC meeting. This is the week's highest-impact catalyst. Bank of America sees it as the "critical battle" for a September rate hike; Citi expects cooling enough for a pause.

2๏ธโƒฃ Apple Event (Wed) โ€” New CEO Ternus's debut. Expected announcements could influence general market risk sentiment, which often correlates with crypto .

3๏ธโƒฃ BTC Options Expiry (Fri) โ€” ~$1.81B in notional expiring could create short-term volatility around settlement.

Stay sharp. This week is decisive for September rate policy.

๐Ÿ“Š Trade freely. Trade decentralized.

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