Greetings, traders! 👋
A packed week ahead: ECB rate decision, US inflation data (final before the September FOMC), and over $10M in token unlocks. All eyes on Thursday and Friday.
All times in UTC for our global community.
📅 MONDAY, September 7
🇪🇺 09:00 UTC — EU GDP (Q2 Final)
🇺🇸 US Markets Closed — Labor Day holiday
🔓 STABLE unlock — ~$26.0M
📅 TUESDAY, September 8
🇯🇵 23:50 UTC (Sep 7) — Japan GDP (Q2 Final)
🇨🇳 02:00 UTC — China Trade Balance (Aug)
📊 Canaan & GameStop earnings — pre-market and after close
📅 WEDNESDAY, September 9 — EVENT DAY 🔥
🇨🇳 01:30 UTC — China CPI (Aug)
🍏 Apple "Surprise and Shine" Event — New CEO John Ternus's first keynote. Expected: iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone (97% Polymarket odds) . Standard iPhone 18 delayed to 2027 due to memory chip costs . Could impact tech/risk sentiment.
🔵 Fractal Bitcoin First Halving — Base block reward drops from 25 FB to 12.5 FB at block 2,100,000 . First halving for this Bitcoin scaling solution. Could attract attention to the L2 sector.
🗓 Crypto Expo Dubai 2026 opens — Institutional focus, potential sentiment catalyst.
🗓 Coinbase perpetual transition — Moving from International Exchange to Deribit.
📅 THURSDAY, September 10 — ECB DAY 🏛
🇩🇪 06:00 UTC — Germany CPI (Aug Final)
🇪🇺 12:15 UTC — ECB Interest Rate Decision — Expected: 2.50% (prev: 2.25%), second consecutive hike
🇪🇺 12:45 UTC — ECB Press Conference with Christine Lagarde
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC — US PPI (Aug) — Headline expected +0.3% MoM (prev: 0.0%), Core +0.2% MoM
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC — Initial Jobless Claims — Expected: 209K
🇺🇸 14:00 UTC — US Existing Home Sales (Aug)
🇺🇸 16:00 UTC — US Crude Oil Inventories (delayed due to holiday)
🏛 Coinbase CFO Alesia Haas at Citi Conference — 17:15 UTC (1:15 PM ET). Watch for comments on regulation, ETFs, or strategy .
📅 FRIDAY, September 11 — US CPI DAY 📊
🇬🇧 06:00 UTC — UK GDP (July)
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC — US CPI (Aug) — Headline expected +3.4% YoY (unchanged from July), Core +2.4% YoY (down from 2.5%)
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC — US Core CPI (Aug) — Expected +0.2% MoM
🇺🇸 15:00 UTC — Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Sept Prelim) — Expected: 51.5
🇺🇸 18:00 UTC — US Federal Budget Report (Aug)
📊 08:00 UTC — Weekly BTC & ETH Options Expiry — BTC notional ~$1.81B
🔓 Aptos unlock — ~11.31M tokens (~$7.09M), 0.65% of circulating supply
📅 SATURDAY, September 12
🔓 Peaq unlock — ~84.84M tokens (~$2.2M), 3.41% of circulating supply
📅 SUNDAY, September 13
🔓 Cheelee unlock — ~6.42M tokens (~$2.24M), 0.79% of circulating supply
⚡️ What XBTS DEX Is Watching This Week
1️⃣ US CPI (Fri) — The final inflation data before the September 16 FOMC meeting. This is the week's highest-impact catalyst. Bank of America sees it as the "critical battle" for a September rate hike; Citi expects cooling enough for a pause.
2️⃣ Apple Event (Wed) — New CEO Ternus's debut. Expected announcements could influence general market risk sentiment, which often correlates with crypto .
3️⃣ BTC Options Expiry (Fri) — ~$1.81B in notional expiring could create short-term volatility around settlement.
Stay sharp. This week is decisive for September rate policy.
📊 Trade freely. Trade decentralized.
